California State University, Dominguez Hills
College of Business Administration and Public Policy
1000 E. Victoria Street, SBS B-309
Carson, CA 90747
Home Address: 1528 Yale Street, #4, Santa Monica, CA 90404
Citizenship: United Kingdom, United States (Dual)
Ph.D. Policy, Planning, and Development, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California. 2013.
Advisors: Gary Painter and Adam Rose.
Dissertation title: The Economic and Political Impacts of U.S. Federal Emissions Trading Policy Across Households, Sectors and States.
Master of Public Policy, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, 2008.
B.Sc. (Hons) International Relations, London School of Economics and Political Sciences, 2006.
Environmental policy, computable general equilibrium modeling, policy analysis, disasters, distributional analysis, transportation systems, behavioral responses to terrorism events.
Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles
1. Prager, F., A. Rose, D. Wei, B. Roberts, C. Baschnagel (2015) Economy-wide impacts of reduced wait times at U.S. international airports. Research in Transportation Business and Management. 16, 112-120.
2. Prager, F. (2013) Behavioral Responses to the London July 2005 Bombings: Making Deductions from Counterfactual Estimation and Regression Analysis. Sage Research Methods Cases. http://dx.doi.org/10.4135/978144627305013514662
3. Rosoff, H., R. John, and F. Prager. (2012) Flu, Risks, and Videotape: Escalating Fear and Avoidance, Risk Analysis 32(4), 729-43.
4. Rose, A., D. Wei, and F. Prager. (2012) Distributional Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading: Alternative Allocation and Recycling Strategies in California. Contemporary Economic Policy. 30(4), 603-17.
5. Cox, A., F. Prager, and A. Rose. (2011). Transportation Security and the Role of Resilience: A Foundation for Operational Metrics, Transport Policy, 18(2), 307-317.
6. Prager, F., G.R. Beeler Asay, D. Von Winterfeldt, and B. Lee. (2011). Exploring Reductions in London Underground Passengers following the 2005 Bombings. Risk Analysis, 31(5), 773-786.
7. Schweitzer, L., Murray-Tuite, P., Inloes, D., Rhoads, M. and Prager, F. (2012) Freight Security and Livability: US Toxic and Hazardous Events from 2000 to 2010, in Security Aspects of Uni- and Multimodal Hazmat Transportation Systems (eds G. L. L. Reniers and L. Zamparini), Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim, Germany
8. Rose, A., F. Prager, Z. Chen, S. Chatterjee, D. Wei, N. Heatwole, E. Warren. (2015). Economic Consequence Analysis Tool (E-CAT).
9. Roberts, B., F. Prager, A. Rose, C. Baschnagel, N. Heatwole, B. Shears, and T. Beggs. (2014). Economic Benefits of Customs and Border Protection, Centers of Excellence and Expertise. Phase 1 Report for Customs and Border Protection.
10. Roberts, B., S. McGonegal, F. Prager, D. Wei, A. Rose, C. Baschnagel, T. Beggs, and O. Baghelai (2014). Analysis of Primary Inspection Wait Time at U.S. Ports of Entry. Report to Customs and Border Protection.
11. Rose, A,. D. Wei, F. Prager. (2010). Impacts of Climate Policy on the California Economy. In Designing the Allocation Process for California’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Program: The multi-billion dollar question. December 2010. Available online at http://nextten.org/next10/publications/trading.html
12. Prager, F., and D. Von Winterfeldt. (Eds.). (2009). Behavioral Changes Following Terrorist Attacks: International Comparisons. Report for METRANS Transportation Center, USC.
13. Prager, F., D. Wei, and A. Rose (2015). Economic Consequences of an Influenza Outbreak in the United States. Manuscript submitted for review.
14. Prager, F., Z. Chen, and A. Rose (2015) Analyzing the Economic Consequences of Disasters across Multiple Threats using Computable General Equilibrium Modeling. Manuscript submitted for review.
15. Prager, F. (2015). The Aggregate and Distributional Economic Impacts of U.S. Federal Climate Policy. Manuscript in Preparation.
16. Prager, F. and J. Sellers. (2015). State-Level Influences on U.S. Federal Representative Climate Policy Voting: Representative Ideology, Economic Interests, Climate Benefits, and Policy Path Dependency. Manuscript in Preparation.
SELECT CONFERENCE PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS
Prager, F. State-Level Economic Impacts of U.S. Emissions Trading Policy: Implications for Interregional Equity and Federal Policy-Making, Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management, Baltimore, November 2012.
Prager, F. The Equity Impacts of U.S. Federal Emissions Trading Policy. Western Economic Association International, San Francisco, CA, June 2012.
Prager, F., Tucker, J.L., and Sneberger, L-P. The Policy Problem of Non-ductile Concrete Buildings in Los Angeles: Costly Earthquakes, Uncertain Owners. ASCE/SEI Conference on Improving the Seismic Performance of Existing Buildings and Others Structures. San Francisco, CA, December 2009.
Postdoctoral Research Associate, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, USC Sol Price School of Public Policy, August 2013-June 2015
At CSUDH, PUB 500 Environment and Practice of Public Administration (on-campus and online versions). At the USC Price School of Public Policy. Instructor of Record: PPD 542 Program Evaluation (Summer, 2014; Online Course), PPD 557 Modeling and Operations Research (Spring 2014). Teaching Assistant: PPD 560 Methods for Policy Analysis (Spring 2011); PPD 557 Modeling and Operations Research (Fall 2009; Spring 2008); PPD 473 Public Policy and Planning Analysis (Fall 2007).
Invited Guest Lecturer on Emissions Trading Schemes for classes at USC: ENST 500 Introduction to Environmental Studies, ENST 387x Economics for Natural Resources and the Environment, ENST 436 Environmental Politics, ENE 429 Air Pollution Control, ENE 502 Environmental and Regulatory Compliance, PPD 461 Sustainability Planning.
USC Homeland Security Center (CREATE) Transition Project of the Year Award, 2015.
Honorable Mention, Charles M. Tiebout Prize in Regional Science, 2014.
USC Price School of Public Policy, Graduate Commencement Speaker, 2013.
USC Price School of Public Policy, Award for Outstanding Achievement, 2012.
USC Price School of Public Policy, Award for Excellence in Scholarly Publication, 2012.
USC Graduate School Dissertation Completion Fellowship, 2012-13.
Horowitz Foundation for Social Policy Grant, 2009. For Ph.D dissertation work.
Outstanding Student of the Year 2009, National Center for Metropolitan Transportation Research (METRANS), USC Price School of Public Policy.
USC Price School of Public Policy, Dean’s Certificate of Merit, (GPA 3.98), 2008.
London School of Economics Student Union, Honorary Life Member, 2006.
SERVICE AND PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIPS
Editorial Advisory Board member, Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2014-; Reviewer for: Risk Analysis Journal, 2012-2013; Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2013 (Certificate of Excellence in Reviewing); Research in Transportation Business & Management, 2013. Member of Western Regional Science Association, Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management, Western Economics Association.
DISSERTATION TITLE: The Economic and Political Impacts of U.S. Federal Emissions Trading Policy Across Households, Sectors and States
This dissertation examines the economic and political impacts of climate policy across U.S. households, sectors and states. This dissertation is motivated by three themes that dominate climate policy: change, inequality, and uncertainty. The impacts of future climate changes are uncertain. Precautionary government intervention can be justified given the potentially catastrophic outcomes of climate change, especially for the most vulnerable communities. However, there is concern that climate policy changes would substantially burden the economy, and inequitably impact the poorest households and regions by reducing income and purchasing power, and by creating more difficult transitions to new green jobs. This dissertation analyzes the economic impacts of a U.S. federal emissions trading policy, a market-based approach used by governments worldwide to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Computable general equilibrium modeling is used to estimate the distributional economic impacts across U.S. household income groups and states. Emissions trading policy can be designed to alleviate regulatory burdens on specific sectors, states, or income brackets; this dissertation compares the economic impacts of numerous policy design options. Uncertainty over climate change has also contributed to an increasingly contentious political debate over policy. This dissertation examines the influence of state-level computable general equilibrium results, and other state-level economic indicators, on Congressional climate policy voting.